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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,716.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,351.8–4,588.6 (-2.7%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 29% ±27 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 8% ±6 | 28% ±25 | 31% ±45 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,520.12 (-4.2%) | 3.8 | 0.2% | 44m | 4.3d ago · 65× | 18% ±24 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 6% ±6 | 18% ±24 | 33% ±53 | 33% | > 7d | 3.71% | 0.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,293.23 (-9.0%) | 8.2 | 1.8% | 15h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 6% ±14 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±13 | 14% ±34 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,234.9 (-10.2%) | 9.4 | 1.5% | 15h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±9 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,896.41 (-17.4%) | 16 | 1.4% | 14h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 4% ±26 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,422.81–3,878.2 (-17.8%) | 16 | 1.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,856.06 (-18.2%) | 17 | 2.1% | 19h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 4% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,626.32–3,632.29 (-23.0%) | 21 | 5.8% | 1.5d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,349.95–3,353.51 (-28.9%) | 26 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 170 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.