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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,666.48 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 1.3% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 88% ±22 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 70% ±13 | 88% ±21 | 96% ±22 | 96% | 2h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,623.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,344.03–4,444.02 (-3.9%) | 2.4 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 26% ±26 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 11% ±7 | 33% ±27 | 40% ±48 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,288.46–4,318.64 (-6.6%) | 4.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 25% ±26 | 68% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±23 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±24 | 38% ±48 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.27% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,147.27 (-10.3%) | 6.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 8% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±13 | 17% ±30 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 3,910.72 (-15.4%) | 9.6 | 1.6% | 15h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±15 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,477.42–3,877.39 (-16.1%) | 10 | 2.4% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,635.74–3,648.81 (-21.1%) | 13 | 8.0% | 2.2d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,353.51–3,360.76 (-27.3%) | 17 | 1.6% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 170 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.