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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,754.52 (+14.8%) | 12 | 0.8% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 3% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 17% ±52 | 98% | 4.6d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,681.37 (+13.0%) | 10 | 1.1% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 18% ±23 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±22 | 47% ±49 | 99% ±16 | 3.3d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,619.63 (+11.6%) | 9.2 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 5% ±24 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 18% | 96% | 4.1d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,379.46 (+5.8%) | 4.6 | 1.3% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 56× | 22% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±11 | 22% ±47 | 84% | 95% | 2.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,275.42–4,287.17 (+3.2%) | 2.6 | 3.0% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 79× | 47% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 24% ±16 | 47% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 82% | 2.2d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,246.61–4,318.64 (+2.5%) | 2.0 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 74% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 22% ±18 | 74% ±43 | 96% | 96% | 9h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,155.78 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 0.6% | 3h | 23.8d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 4,141.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,569.58–3,857.68 (-6.8%) | 5.4 | 2.2% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 18% ±34 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±30 | 20% ±56 | 20% | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-11.9%) | 9.4 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-19.0%) | 15 | <0.1% | 14m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 151 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 4,141.19 | 3,615.59 | 4,287.17 | stop | -3.83% |