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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-23 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,857.79 (+2.4%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 73% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 41% ±18 | 74% ±39 | 77% ±58 | 87% | 5h | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| at post · 4,745.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,565.38 (-3.8%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 10h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 46% ±49 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 17% ±14 | 45% ±44 | 48% ±69 | 60% | 3.1d | 2.95% | 1.66% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,449.39 (-6.2%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 65× | 23% ±24 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±24 | 37% ±47 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,197.75–4,335.9 (-8.6%) | 5.7 | 3.3% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 12% ±23 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±21 | 14% ±39 | 14% | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,287.83–4,297.52 (-9.4%) | 6.2 | 6.4% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 14% ±18 | 62% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±18 | 24% ±37 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 3.09% | 1.48% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,126.28–4,151.13 (-12.5%) | 8.2 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±23 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,921.45–4,121 (-13.2%) | 8.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 6% ±10 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 11% ±24 | 19% ±45 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,752.6 (-20.9%) | 14 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.