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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,857.79 (+3.1%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 65% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 27% ±16 | 63% ±42 | 67% ±65 | 84% | 11h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| at post · 4,713.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,581.95 (-2.8%) | 1.8 | 1.7% | 8h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 70% ±40 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 37% ±16 | 68% ±37 | 71% ±63 | 71% | 7h | 2.95% | 1.66% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,457.68 (-5.4%) | 3.6 | 2.2% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 65× | 27% ±28 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 8% ±6 | 26% ±26 | 46% ±49 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,182.4–4,335.9 (-8.0%) | 5.2 | 3.4% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 16% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±26 | 17% ±52 | 17% | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,287.83–4,297.52 (-8.8%) | 5.8 | 6.5% | 2.0d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 17% ±20 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±19 | 28% ±39 | 37% ±67 | 5.3d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,159.42 (-11.8%) | 7.7 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 20% ±35 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,921.45–4,121 (-12.6%) | 8.2 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 6% ±10 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 12% ±24 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,109.71 (-12.8%) | 8.4 | 0.8% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 11% ±22 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,767.95 (-20.1%) | 13 | 5.0% | 1.8d | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.