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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-24 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,857.79 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 0.2% | 58m | 22.3d ago · 44× | 75% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 35% ±16 | 67% ±38 | 71% ±63 | 84% | 7h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| at post · 4,796.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,606.8 (-4.0%) | 4.9 | 1.2% | 6h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 8% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 13% ±47 | 25% | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.66% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,465.96 (-6.9%) | 8.6 | 1.3% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 65× | 4% ±12 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 9% ±32 | 13% | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,182.4–4,335.9 (-9.6%) | 12 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 158 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,287.83–4,297.52 (-10.4%) | 13 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 2% ±5 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±23 | > 7d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,159.42 (-13.3%) | 16 | 1.0% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 192 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 3,921.45–4,121 (-14.1%) | 17 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,068.28 (-15.2%) | 19 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,783.3 (-21.1%) | 26 | 2.7% | 23h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 228 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.