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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,857.79 (+1.7%) | 2.7 | 0.2% | 44m | 22.3d ago · 44× | 50% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 16% ±11 | 46% ±37 | 52% ±69 | 79% | 2.0d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| at post · 4,775.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,623.37 (-3.2%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 8h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 7% ±19 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 4% ±6 | 7% ±19 | 12% ±45 | 23% | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.66% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,474.25 (-6.3%) | 9.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 65× | 2% ±11 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 7% | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,182.4–4,335.9 (-9.2%) | 15 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,287.83–4,297.52 (-10.0%) | 16 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 1% ±4 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 2% ±16 | > 7d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,167.7 (-12.7%) | 20 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 7% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 181 → 4 |
| LVN zone | 3,921.45–4,121 (-13.7%) | 22 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 4% ±29 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,068.28 (-14.8%) | 23 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,783.3 (-20.8%) | 33 | 2.2% | 18h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 211 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.