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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-26 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+10.0%) | 7.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 14% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±3 | 14% ±20 | 46% ±49 | 86% ±48 | 3.2d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,679.39–4,697.35 (+5.9%) | 4.2 | 1.8% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 43% ±25 | 41% ±22 | 8% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 19 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 73% ±39 | 96% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.80% | 2.51% | 94 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,604.75–4,636.84 (+4.2%) | 3.0 | 2.7% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 81% ±44 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 16% ±15 | 76% ±42 | 96% | 96% | 13h | 3.01% | 1.70% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,418 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,187.67–4,348.09 (-1.6%) | 1.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 72% ±29 | 41% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 56% ±13 | 72% ±29 | 75% ±49 | 81% | 3h | 2.29% | 1.84% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,288.91–4,291.94 (-2.9%) | 2.0 | 5.6% | 1.8d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 52% ±33 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 20% ±11 | 51% ±33 | 71% ±51 | 77% | 1.1d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-4.9%) | 3.4 | 3.4% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 43% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 12% ±10 | 42% ±37 | 49% ±69 | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-6.7%) | 4.7 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 26% ±19 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 26% ±18 | 37% ±36 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,068.98 (-7.9%) | 5.6 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 10% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 20% ±29 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 130 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,834.76 (-13.2%) | 9.4 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.