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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-26 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,858.93–4,861.42 (+6.0%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 39% ±24 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 5% ±4 | 38% ±23 | 61% ±39 | 93% ±35 | 1.7d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,755.69 (+3.8%) | 2.9 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 47% ±44 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 13% ±12 | 46% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 97% | 1.9d | 2.29% | 1.63% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,688.37 (+2.3%) | 1.8 | 1.8% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 76% ±30 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 40% ±14 | 75% ±30 | 93% ±28 | 96% | 6h | 1.82% | 2.89% | 48 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,604.75–4,636.84 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 76% ±38 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 70% ±17 | 77% ±37 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 3.01% | 1.70% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,582.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,396.21–4,444.34 (-3.0%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 47% ±44 | 41% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±44 | 57% ±69 | 64% | 1.0d | 2.29% | 1.84% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-6.0%) | 4.6 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 19% ±18 | 50% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±18 | 31% ±37 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 2.62% | 1.92% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-8.3%) | 6.3 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 14% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±19 | 29% ±44 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-10.0%) | 7.6 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 6% ±11 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 14% ±26 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,834.76 (-16.3%) | 12 | 2.6% | 18h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 146 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.