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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-28 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+6.4%) | 5.7 | 0.4% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 20% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±23 | 41% ±48 | 89% ±43 | 3.4d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,717.05–4,765.17 (+3.2%) | 2.9 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 81% ±38 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 12% ±12 | 75% ±38 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 15h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,715.86 (+3.2%) | 2.9 | 2.3% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 53% ±25 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 10% ±6 | 53% ±25 | 69% ±40 | 92% ±37 | 21h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,643.49 (+1.6%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 71% ±32 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 46% ±13 | 65% ±31 | 86% ±39 | 90% | 5h | 1.82% | 2.89% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,613.84 (+1.0%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 83% ±28 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 60% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 84% ±42 | 98% | 2h | 2.29% | 1.63% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,568.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,396.21–4,444.34 (-2.7%) | 2.4 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 44% ±40 | 44% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 18% ±12 | 41% ±39 | 51% ±69 | 59% | 1.5d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-5.7%) | 5.1 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 24% ±23 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±22 | 33% ±41 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 3.17% | 1.89% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,203.63–4,217.11 (-7.7%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 16% ±24 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 159 → 4 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,123.51 (-9.7%) | 8.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 5% ±9 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 10% ±21 | 18% ±37 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,898.92 (-14.7%) | 13 | 0.8% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 166 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.