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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-29 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+12.2%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±14 | 29% ±45 | 84% ±50 | 3.9d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,732.17 (+9.2%) | 8.8 | 2.2% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 7% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 32% ±46 | 99% ±16 | 4.0d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+7.0%) | 6.7 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 26% ±21 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±21 | 60% ±39 | 99% ±14 | 2.1d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,593.11 (+6.0%) | 5.7 | 3.0% | 22h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 12% ±29 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±28 | 40% ±68 | 97% | 3.4d | 2.29% | 1.63% | 32 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,396.21–4,508.51 (+1.5%) | 1.4 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 67% ±35 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 38% ±14 | 66% ±33 | 88% ±37 | 88% | 9h | 2.62% | 1.70% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,332.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,311.23 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 74% ±33 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 63% ±15 | 74% ±33 | 79% ±57 | 81% | 3h | 3.17% | 1.89% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,212.6 (-2.8%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 43% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 13% ±10 | 43% ±37 | 48% ±69 | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,123.51 (-4.8%) | 4.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 25% ±18 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 25% ±18 | 35% ±33 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,075.38 (-5.9%) | 5.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 14% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±30 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.