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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-29 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,829.34 (+11.8%) | 10 | 0.7% | 4h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 6% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 30% ±40 | 84% ±51 | 4.0d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,694.19 (+8.7%) | 7.4 | 1.7% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 13% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±48 | 99% ±15 | 3.9d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+7.1%) | 6.0 | 3.2% | 21h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 28% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±21 | 63% ±39 | 98% ±20 | 1.9d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,593.65 (+6.3%) | 5.4 | 3.4% | 24h | 4.2d ago · 104× | 12% ±28 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±25 | 41% ±68 | 98% | 3.4d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,396.21–4,508.51 (+1.8%) | 1.5 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 62% ±36 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 35% ±14 | 60% ±34 | 80% ±46 | 80% | 11h | 2.62% | 1.70% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,320.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 73% ±35 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 67% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 78% ±57 | 83% | 1h | 3.17% | 1.89% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.7%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 42% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 13% ±11 | 41% ±39 | 44% ±69 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,123.51 (-4.6%) | 3.9 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 44% ±69 | 44% | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,107.47 (-4.9%) | 4.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 27% ±19 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±19 | 37% ±36 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 133 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.