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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-30 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,813.3 (+10.6%) | 8.4 | 1.0% | 5h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 10% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 36% ±42 | 83% ±52 | 3.7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,625.53–4,648.48 (+6.3%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 31% ±22 | 44% ±22 | 7% ±12 | 49% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±4 | 31% ±21 | 60% ±39 | 97% ±20 | 2.3d | 1.88% | 2.27% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+5.5%) | 4.3 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 17% ±28 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 42% ±56 | 98% | 3.4d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,396.21–4,508.51 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 77% ±29 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 57% ±14 | 73% ±29 | 90% ±35 | 90% | 3h | 2.62% | 1.70% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,350.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,311.19 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 69% ±34 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 62% ±14 | 73% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 86% | 2h | 3.17% | 1.89% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-3.4%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 43% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 12% ±9 | 41% ±34 | 46% ±56 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,139.55 (-4.9%) | 3.9 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 31× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±68 | 40% | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,107.47 (-5.6%) | 4.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 26% ±18 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 26% ±17 | 36% ±33 | 40% ±56 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.