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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,733.09 (+8.7%) | 9.3 | 2.1% | 16h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 5% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 26% ±35 | 75% ±60 | 5.5d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+6.5%) | 6.9 | 2.5% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 21% ±18 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±18 | 51% ±37 | 99% ±10 | 2.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 120 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+4.3%) | 4.6 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 40% ±48 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±42 | 56% ±69 | 56% | 1.6d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,540.24 (+4.3%) | 4.6 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 33% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 33% ±20 | 51% ±37 | 91% ±32 | 2.8d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,354.81 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 104× | 97% ±16 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 86% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 2.31% | 1.54% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,353.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,342.77 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 24h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 80% ±29 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 72% ±13 | 80% ±29 | 83% ±52 | 87% | 1h | 3.47% | 1.85% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,316.1 (-0.9%) | 0.9 | 3.7% | 23h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 50% ±17 | 53% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 68% | 4h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,291.94 (-1.4%) | 1.5 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 72× | 50% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 33% ±16 | 50% ±40 | 58% ±68 | 76% | 20h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-3.4%) | 3.6 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.6d ago · 59× | 27% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±6 | 27% ±27 | 34% ±54 | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-4.5%) | 4.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 15% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±35 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,091.42 (-6.0%) | 6.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 47× | 11% ±12 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 18% ±25 | 22% ±41 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 158 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,353.31 | 4,316.1 | 4,540.24 | target | +1.36% |