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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,724.02 (+9.8%) | 9.1 | 2.3% | 17h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 5% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 26% ±35 | 72% ±62 | 5.7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+7.7%) | 7.2 | 2.9% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 20% ±18 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 52% ±37 | 95% ±24 | 3.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,552.82 (+5.8%) | 5.4 | 2.6% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 28% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 27% ±19 | 46% ±37 | 91% ±33 | 3.8d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 125 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,552.68–4,630.56 (+5.8%) | 5.4 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 45% ±56 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±7 | 41% ±48 | 63% | 63% | 1.5d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,342.77–4,344.88 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 86% ±24 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 60% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 2h | 2.31% | 1.54% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,306.03 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 8.0d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 77% ±25 | 85% ±50 | 85% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 4,302.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,295.67 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 53% ±24 | 63% ±55 | 68% | 79% | 2h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.3%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 41% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 19% ±12 | 43% ±37 | 50% ±69 | 60% | 2.9d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,163.27 (-3.2%) | 3.0 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 33% ±65 | 33% | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,054.23–4,085.39 (-5.0%) | 4.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 23% ±17 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±17 | 32% ±32 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 4,302.31 | 4,055.52 | 4,344.88 | stop | -0.13% |