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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-06 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,629.7 (+7.1%) | 7.4 | 2.6% | 17h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 23% ±31 | 54% ±56 | 6.8d | — | — | 124 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,581.58 (+6.0%) | 6.3 | 2.7% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 18% ±16 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 43% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 4.7d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,577.22–4,629.7 (+5.9%) | 6.1 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 19% ±32 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±5 | 18% ±29 | 34% ±65 | 34% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,419.02 (+2.3%) | 2.4 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 97× | 52% ±26 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 14% ±7 | 53% ±25 | 69% ±40 | 86% ±48 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,382.25–4,385.38 (+1.4%) | 1.5 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 80% ±28 | 49% ±24 | 9% ±13 | 42% ±23 | 17 | 42% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 85% ±41 | 97% | 6h | 2.24% | 1.69% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,320.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,308.28 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 67% ±41 | 77% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 63% ±17 | 69% ±41 | 75% ±60 | 81% | 1h | 3.55% | 0.67% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,265.66–4,278.62 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 51% ±37 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 41% ±14 | 55% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 74% | 9h | 3.68% | 0.98% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,196.77 (-2.9%) | 3.0 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 21% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±38 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,960.63–4,013.11 (-7.1%) | 7.4 | 0.3% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 6% ±8 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±20 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 184 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 4,320.95 | 4,629.7 | 4,196.77 | expired | -0.90% |