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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-14 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,653.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (-1.6%) | 2.5 | 1.6% | 10h | 7.9d ago · 38× | 26% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 11% ±12 | 23% ±41 | 49% | 59% | 6.6d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,517.72 (-2.9%) | 4.7 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 65× | 16% ±18 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±18 | 34% ±42 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-3.7%) | 6.0 | 2.2% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 19% ±21 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±20 | 30% ±40 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,436.12 (-4.7%) | 7.6 | 2.9% | 19h | 14.5d ago · 55× | 6% ±13 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 13% ±29 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.98 (-7.6%) | 12 | 5.7% | 2.5d | 3.7d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,272.45–4,272.99 (-8.2%) | 13 | 3.1% | 21h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±11 | 15% ±31 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 226 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-8.7%) | 14 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 217 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.