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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-27 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,691.3 (+17.1%) | 35 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.4d ago · 70× | building | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 10 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,607.18 (+15.0%) | 31 | 1.0% | 9h | 21.5d ago · 44× | building | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 92% | 4.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,504.4 (+12.5%) | 26 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 79× | building | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.02% | 1.85% | 6 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+7.4%) | 15 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 7% ±36 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 94% | 3.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,512.58 (+6.8%) | 14 | 1.6% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 24% ±42 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 4% ±7 | 23% ±41 | 48% | 80% | 5.7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+6.3%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,221.86 (+5.4%) | 11 | 0.2% | 46m | 3.5d ago · 97× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 15% ±29 | 60% ±56 | 5.6d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,184.59 (+4.5%) | 9.2 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 2% ±9 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±43 | 60% | 5.3d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 58 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,117.56 (+2.8%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 42m | 23.0d ago · 46× | 8% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 30% ±64 | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,124.72 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 0.3% | 45m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 40% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 14% ±15 | 38% ±55 | 49% | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 4,005.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,943.99 (-1.5%) | 3.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 32% ±19 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 10% ±5 | 32% ±19 | 48% ±35 | 60% ±55 | 3.8d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.