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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-02 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+8.1%) | 9.9 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 17% ±22 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 199 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,455.82–4,522.04 (+1.6%) | 2.0 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 40% ±28 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 13% ±7 | 43% ±27 | 53% ±49 | 54% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,385.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-2.0%) | 2.4 | 6.3% | 2.6d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 63% ±30 | 72% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 23% ±11 | 63% ±30 | 78% ±47 | 83% | 16h | 3.41% | 0.53% | 58 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-2.9%) | 3.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 30% ±18 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 7% ±4 | 30% ±18 | 38% ±34 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,228.42 (-3.6%) | 4.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 16% ±25 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±24 | 50% ±57 | 68% | 3.1d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 4,164.17–4,190.94 (-4.4%) | 5.4 | 3.1% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 13% ±13 | 49% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 47% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 26% ±30 | 41% ±48 | 6.1d | 2.70% | 1.77% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,143.64–4,190.94 (-4.4%) | 5.4 | 3.1% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 31% ±24 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 7% ±5 | 30% ±23 | 57% ±43 | 58% ±68 | 2.5d | 1.92% | 1.52% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,005.09 (-8.7%) | 11 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 2% ±5 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,870.77 (-11.7%) | 14 | 0.5% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 19% ±31 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 270 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,822 (-12.9%) | 16 | 0.1% | 9m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±19 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 167 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.