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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+6.6%) | 7.4 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 5% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 22% ±26 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 182 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,469 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.3% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 86% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 67% ±11 | 86% ±20 | 93% ±25 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,455.82–4,522.04 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 82% ±27 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 72% ±13 | 82% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 1h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,446.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,370.68–4,427.44 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.3% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 84% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 71% ±10 | 84% ±19 | 87% ±30 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.52% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-3.3%) | 3.7 | 6.5% | 2.8d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 54% ±28 | 72% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 11% ±7 | 54% ±28 | 69% ±45 | 79% ±56 | 1.0d | 3.41% | 0.53% | 72 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-4.3%) | 4.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 21% ±15 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 3% ±3 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±28 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 173 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,233.59 (-4.8%) | 5.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 9% ±17 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 35% ±47 | 55% ±69 | 4.3d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-5.7%) | 6.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 4,164.99 (-6.3%) | 7.2 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 14% ±13 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 26% ±29 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 159 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,135.8 (-7.0%) | 7.9 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 4% ±8 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±23 | 37% ±54 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,003.16 (-10.0%) | 11 | 2.5% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±11 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 208 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,854.28 (-13.3%) | 15 | 0.3% | 39m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 16% ±29 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 262 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.