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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+6.0%) | 12 | 0.2% | 1h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 15% ±20 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,590.83 (+2.7%) | 5.4 | 1.3% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 27% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 3% ±2 | 27% ±15 | 44% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 3.7d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 203 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 4,480.98 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 89% ±17 | 59% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 70% ±10 | 89% ±16 | 91% ±25 | 96% ±29 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.44% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,469.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,351.76 (-2.6%) | 5.3 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 30% ±23 | 47% ±19 | 23% ±16 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 7% ±5 | 30% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 56% ±69 | 2.7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,290.99–4,299.73 (-3.8%) | 7.6 | 3.3% | 1.5d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 9% ±12 | 67% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 29% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 29% ±31 | 52% ±57 | 4.8d | 3.19% | 1.25% | 137 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-4.8%) | 9.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 3% ±6 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±13 | 11% ±28 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 215 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 4,171.82–4,181.48 (-6.4%) | 13 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±5 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±13 | 17% ±30 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 258 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,157.7 (-7.0%) | 14 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±2 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 7% ±22 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-14.5%) | 29 | <0.1% | 6m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±19 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,469.59 | 4,157.7 | 4,590.83 | stop | -0.63% |