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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.4%) | 7.5 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 5% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 20% ±24 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 199 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,618.44 (+2.7%) | 3.8 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 39% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 7% ±4 | 41% ±17 | 59% ±29 | 77% ±37 | 1.6d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 194 → 5 | |
| at post · 4,496.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,482.54–4,488.93 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 82% ±23 | 66% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 30% ±17 | 28 | 70% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 85% ±35 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 3.26% | 0.88% | 69 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,342.3 (-3.4%) | 4.7 | 2.2% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 37% ±25 | 48% ±19 | 23% ±15 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±25 | 63% ±42 | 64% ±66 | 1.9d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,315.79 (-4.0%) | 5.6 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 13.7d ago · 55× | 7% ±13 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±40 | 52% ±69 | 5.8d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 93 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,228.78–4,266.62 (-5.1%) | 7.1 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 7% ±8 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 12% ±18 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 208 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 4,181.48–4,190.5 (-6.8%) | 9.4 | 3.0% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±21 | 10% ±13 | 33% ±20 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±16 | 27% ±35 | > 7d | 2.55% | 1.34% | 249 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-15.0%) | 21 | 0.1% | 8m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 7% ±22 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 228 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 4,496.54 | 4,739.62 | 4,181.48 | expired | +4.24% |