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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,749.08 (+1.5%) | 2.1 | 0.2% | 1h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 52% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 16% ±9 | 52% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 81% | 22h | 1.68% | 2.10% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,676.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,596.6 (-1.7%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 19h | 3.3d ago · 65× | 61% ±34 | 48% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 29% ±13 | 61% ±34 | 71% ±51 | 78% | 16h | 2.69% | 1.46% | 47 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,436.9–4,550.42 (-2.7%) | 3.6 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 42% ±26 | 48% ±19 | 23% ±15 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 9% ±6 | 41% ±26 | 68% ±41 | 70% ±64 | 1.5d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,507.85 (-3.6%) | 4.9 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 25% ±20 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 27% ±20 | 50% ±40 | 72% ±51 | 3.1d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,479.23 (-4.2%) | 5.7 | 4.9% | 2.3d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 14% ±15 | 61% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 28% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 6.7d | 3.11% | 1.08% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,379.38 (-6.4%) | 8.6 | 2.0% | 11h | 13.8d ago · 55× | 4% ±9 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 16% ±29 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,283.61 (-8.4%) | 11 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±10 | 16% ±29 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 232 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,266.62 (-8.8%) | 12 | 0.6% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±7 | 6% ±21 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 210 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 4,166.01–4,181.48 (-10.6%) | 14 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±11 | 14% ±25 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 285 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-18.3%) | 25 | 0.1% | 9m | 2.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±23 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 195 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.