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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+6.6%) | 6.0 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±13 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 40% ±30 | 60% ±48 | 5.2d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 173 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,621.14 (+3.6%) | 3.3 | 2.7% | 19h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 48% ±18 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 8% ±4 | 48% ±18 | 66% ±29 | 83% ±37 | 1.1d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 179 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,588.26–4,597.72 (+2.9%) | 2.6 | 3.4% | 24h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 42% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 11% ±7 | 42% ±26 | 49% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 6.7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,478.79–4,488.93 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 7.6% | 3.4d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 92% ±14 | 39% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 51% ±19 | 27 | 78% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 94% ±21 | 97% ±25 | 1h | 1.83% | 1.79% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,459.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,295–4,342.3 (-2.6%) | 2.4 | 3.3% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 50% ±27 | 50% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 16% ±8 | 50% ±26 | 74% ±39 | 81% ±54 | 23h | 2.76% | 1.38% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,336.44 (-2.8%) | 2.5 | 3.5% | 20h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±21 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 2.2d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 120 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-4.1%) | 3.7 | 1.3% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 27% ±17 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±17 | 36% ±33 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.0%) | 5.5 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 31× | 3% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 6% ±17 | 16% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 4,092.28 (-8.2%) | 7.5 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 10% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 27% ±26 | 52% ±44 | 6.4d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.