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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+9.5%) | 9.8 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 8% ±9 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 28% ±24 | 59% ±39 | 5.9d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,616.39 (+6.3%) | 6.6 | 2.4% | 19h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 19% ±13 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 35% ±28 | 62% ±43 | 5.0d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 204 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,481.25–4,488.93 (+3.2%) | 3.3 | 7.1% | 3.1d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 30% ±24 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 7% ±5 | 28% ±23 | 51% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 2.9d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 88 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,417.98–4,550.42 (+1.7%) | 1.8 | 2.8% | 16h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 45% ±25 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 18% ±8 | 45% ±25 | 56% ±44 | 57% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,375.58 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 16h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 80% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 61% ±21 | 77% ±41 | 83% | 96% | 2h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 4,342.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,285.54 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 55% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 31% ±10 | 54% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 19h | 3.63% | 1.19% | 89 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,134.18–4,200.4 (-3.3%) | 3.4 | 2.5% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 46% ±24 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 9% ±6 | 47% ±24 | 71% ±36 | 79% ±56 | 1.0d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,190.94–4,197.71 (-3.3%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 20% ±19 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 6% ±5 | 19% ±19 | 30% ±37 | 36% ±66 | 3.2d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 99 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.