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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46–4,754.32 (+28.3%) | 12 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 5% ±7 | 42% ±18 | 8% ±10 | 49% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 21% ±22 | 57% ±40 | 6.0d | 1.97% | 2.04% | 241 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,501.24 (+21.2%) | 8.9 | 12.8% | 5.7d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 7% ±15 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 23% ±41 | 72% ±62 | 4.9d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,131.16–4,138.72 (+11.8%) | 5.0 | 5.5% | 1.5d | 22.8d ago · 46× | 15% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±23 | 39% ±55 | 71% | 3.9d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,063.46 (+10.0%) | 4.2 | 2.1% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 19% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±5 | 19% ±29 | 58% ±68 | 64% | 2.5d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (+8.0%) | 3.4 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 9.6d ago · 82× | 25% ±20 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 5% ±4 | 24% ±20 | 34% ±38 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,693.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.