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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-12 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46–4,754.32 (+24.7%) | 18 | 0.7% | 4h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 1% ±4 | 42% ±18 | 8% ±10 | 49% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 14% ±23 | 52% ±49 | 6.1d | 1.97% | 2.04% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,476.43–4,503.51 (+17.8%) | 13 | 8.0% | 3.9d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 5% ±14 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±13 | 21% ±46 | 72% | 4.9d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 58 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,248.16–4,261.84 (+11.8%) | 8.4 | 0.4% | 53m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 15% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±25 | 40% ±56 | 79% | 4.8d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,125.04–4,131.16 (+8.5%) | 6.1 | 3.1% | 20h | 22.9d ago · 46× | 13% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 73% | 4.0d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (+4.9%) | 3.5 | 2.7% | 18h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 22% ±19 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 4% ±4 | 22% ±19 | 35% ±38 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,955.14 (+4.1%) | 2.9 | 1.8% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 33% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±10 | 31% ±45 | 65% | 84% | 2.5d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| at post · 3,800.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.