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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46 (+14.5%) | 9.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 26% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 254 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,456.12–4,489.97 (+7.6%) | 5.2 | 6.1% | 2.5d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 25% ±14 | 33% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±14 | 41% ±27 | 73% ±36 | 4.1d | 1.69% | 1.91% | 232 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,605.06 (+7.0%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 12h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 12% ±15 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 34% ±38 | 55% ±56 | 6.8d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 107 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,239.48–4,253.02 (+2.4%) | 1.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 61% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 22% ±13 | 59% ±36 | 78% ±57 | 98% | 20h | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| at post · 4,140.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,104.08 (-0.9%) | 0.6 | 3.4% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 63% ±36 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 43% ±15 | 66% ±35 | 73% ±62 | 75% | 7h | 2.39% | 1.07% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,982.22–4,036.38 (-2.5%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 58% ±25 | 46% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 27% ±9 | 57% ±25 | 76% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 18h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,812.97 (-7.9%) | 5.4 | 2.8% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 20% ±17 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±17 | 34% ±35 | 53% ±56 | 6.3d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,630.18 (-12.3%) | 8.4 | 0.2% | 6m | 2.8d ago · 85× | 8% ±8 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 17% ±19 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 261 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.