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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,726.92–4,740.46 (+13.5%) | 9.7 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 25% ±23 | 55% ±40 | 6.2d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 258 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+7.5%) | 5.4 | 8.0% | 4.1d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 15% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±19 | 34% ±47 | 79% ±57 | 4.9d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 79 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,605.06 (+6.4%) | 4.6 | 2.2% | 12h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 16% ±17 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±17 | 35% ±38 | 54% ±56 | 6.8d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,374.88 (+5.1%) | 3.7 | 2.3% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 41% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 7% ±4 | 41% ±16 | 58% ±28 | 76% ±37 | 1.5d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 213 → 5 | |
| at post · 4,163.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,104.08 (-1.4%) | 1.0 | 3.9% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 57% ±31 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 42% ±12 | 63% ±29 | 68% ±46 | 70% ±63 | 9h | 2.39% | 1.07% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,982.22–4,022.84 (-3.4%) | 2.4 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 51% ±25 | 46% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 15% ±7 | 54% ±24 | 78% ±36 | 84% ±51 | 23h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,812.97 (-8.4%) | 6.1 | 2.6% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 17% ±15 | 60% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 37% ±17 | 32 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±31 | 50% ±57 | 6.7d | 3.11% | 1.08% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,630.18 (-12.8%) | 9.2 | 0.1% | 6m | 2.8d ago · 85× | 6% ±7 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±18 | 36% ±38 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 269 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,163.52 | 4,476.43 | 3,989.53 | stop | -1.66% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 4,163.52 | 4,489.97 | 3,991.97 | stop | -1.66% |