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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,713.38 (+11.2%) | 8.9 | 0.7% | 5h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 22% ±22 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,605.06 (+8.6%) | 6.8 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 15% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 39% ±29 | 63% ±42 | 5.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+5.6%) | 4.4 | 7.4% | 3.9d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 19% ±23 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±22 | 36% ±47 | 73% ±62 | 5.3d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 72 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,605.06 (+4.5%) | 3.5 | 2.0% | 10h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 25% ±20 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 5% ±4 | 24% ±19 | 38% ±36 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,374.88 (+3.2%) | 2.5 | 2.1% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 56% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 13% ±5 | 56% ±19 | 69% ±30 | 85% ±35 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 154 → 4 | |
| at post · 4,240.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,212.4 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 84% ±18 | 46% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 68% ±9 | 84% ±18 | 88% ±28 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,104.08 (-3.2%) | 2.6 | 3.6% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 21% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±28 | 23% ±48 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,022.84 (-5.1%) | 4.1 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 59× | 31% ±21 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 5% ±4 | 31% ±21 | 53% ±40 | 65% ±54 | 2.7d | 2.68% | 1.17% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,812.97 (-10.1%) | 8.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 7% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 37% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 13% ±22 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.08% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,711.42 (-12.5%) | 9.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 4% ±6 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±15 | 32% ±37 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 263 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.