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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+16.1%) | 18 | 0.2% | 45m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 3% ±13 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 9% ±39 | 48% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,320.72 (+8.6%) | 9.6 | 1.5% | 11h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±19 | 44% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 287 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,239.48 (+6.5%) | 7.3 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 13% ±10 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±10 | 34% ±26 | 56% ±40 | 6.0d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 241 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,181.06 (+4.7%) | 5.2 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 21% ±13 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 36% ±25 | 61% ±39 | 4.9d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 247 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,121.97–4,124.39 (+3.6%) | 4.0 | 3.7% | 24h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 17% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±17 | 34% ±38 | 55% ±56 | 5.8d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 105 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 1.9% | 6h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 42% ±21 | 57% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 11% ±5 | 43% ±21 | 52% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 1.8d | 2.13% | 1.55% | 132 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,979.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,888.71 (-2.3%) | 2.5 | 2.0% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 39% ±20 | 54% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 14% ±6 | 39% ±20 | 55% ±34 | 62% ±55 | 1.6d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-3.7%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 44% ±23 | 46% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±23 | 72% ±36 | 80% ±45 | 1.2d | 2.54% | 1.53% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,697.88–3,711.42 (-6.7%) | 7.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 6% ±8 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±23 | 42% ±43 | 6.4d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 218 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.