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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+20.0%) | 23 | 0.2% | 43m | 1.7d ago · 50× | 3% ±13 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 6% ±33 | 50% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,280.1 (+11.2%) | 13 | 0.8% | 4h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±17 | 48% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 283 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,185.32 (+8.7%) | 9.9 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 9% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 26% ±23 | 52% ±40 | 6.7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 260 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+8.2%) | 9.3 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 7% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 15% ±29 | 57% ±69 | 5.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,090.74 (+6.3%) | 7.1 | 2.3% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 14% ±11 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±11 | 28% ±24 | 50% ±40 | 6.9d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,973.54–3,975.45 (+3.2%) | 3.7 | 3.1% | 18h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 22% ±19 | 44% ±18 | 5% ±8 | 51% ±18 | 30 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±19 | 38% ±39 | 56% ±56 | 5.6d | 2.10% | 1.66% | 107 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,887.44–4,063.46 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 1.9% | 17h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 68% ±21 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 39% ±9 | 68% ±20 | 78% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 9h | 2.11% | 1.70% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,856.34 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.6% | 11h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 88% ±32 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 76% ±17 | 88% ±32 | 88% | 92% | 1h | 1.97% | 2.33% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,849.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,738.5 (-2.9%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 38% ±22 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 10% ±6 | 38% ±22 | 51% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 2.7d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-3.6%) | 4.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 16% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 22% ±33 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,849.22 | 3,614.82 | 3,973.54 | stop | -0.72% |