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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.9%) | 19 | 0.2% | 51m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 2% ±9 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±22 | 39% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+9.7%) | 9.5 | 0.8% | 5h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 41% ±36 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 311 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,133.81 (+7.3%) | 7.2 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 12% ±10 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±25 | 52% ±40 | 6.7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 253 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,185.32 (+6.2%) | 6.1 | 2.7% | 13h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 15% ±16 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 35% ±38 | 58% ±56 | 6.4d | 2.09% | 1.85% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 3,990.31–4,002.53 (+3.6%) | 3.5 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 32% ±15 | 38% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±15 | 47% ±27 | 64% ±38 | 3.6d | 1.62% | 1.73% | 235 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 86% ±16 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 69% ±9 | 87% ±15 | 90% ±24 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,851.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,837.27 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 22h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 84% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 73% ±11 | 83% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.92% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,775.98–3,781.98 (-1.8%) | 1.8 | 1.5% | 7h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 47% ±22 | 52% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 21% ±7 | 47% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 65% ±54 | 1.3d | 2.56% | 1.23% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-3.3%) | 3.2 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 23% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±5 | 27% ±23 | 31% ±41 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.