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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-27 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+10.9%) | 12 | 0.2% | 47m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 1% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 21% ±40 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 77 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,469.66–4,483.2 (+7.3%) | 8.3 | 2.5% | 1.0d | 9.5d ago · 82× | 10% ±14 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±16 | 41% ±39 | 69% ±53 | 4.2d | 2.07% | 1.95% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+1.8%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 58% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 18% ±9 | 58% ±29 | 76% ±42 | 84% ±51 | 17h | 1.95% | 2.06% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,165.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,106.42–4,124.39 (-1.0%) | 1.1 | 3.5% | 23h | 2.9d ago · 72× | 67% ±28 | 65% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 30% ±20 | 21 | 44% ±12 | 67% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 5h | 3.15% | 1.17% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,806.2–4,036.38 (-3.1%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 49% ±23 | 49% ±16 | 20% ±13 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 10% ±6 | 49% ±23 | 76% ±34 | 82% ±44 | 1.0d | 2.71% | 1.52% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,012.46 (-3.7%) | 4.2 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 3.2d ago · 65× | 26% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 5% ±4 | 25% ±20 | 44% ±40 | 50% ±57 | 5.8d | 2.46% | 1.61% | 111 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,873.05–3,873.16 (-7.0%) | 7.9 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 8% ±9 | 52% ±16 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 17% ±22 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.52% | 202 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,832.73 (-8.0%) | 9.0 | 3.1% | 23h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 7% ±8 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 26% ±22 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 263 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,810.18 (-8.5%) | 9.7 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 4% ±6 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±17 | 36% ±35 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-10.9%) | 12 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 2% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 297 → 7 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 4,165.6 | 4,124.39 | 4,334.53 | target | +1.05% |