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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+22.6%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±14 | 20% ±55 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+12.5%) | 10 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±18 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 336 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,132.19 (+10.0%) | 8.1 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 7% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 24% ±23 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 238 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,031.84 (+7.4%) | 5.9 | 2.8% | 16h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±12 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 41% ±27 | 64% ±38 | 4.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 232 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 3,975.45 (+5.9%) | 4.7 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 67× | 15% ±15 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 27% ±33 | 57% ±56 | 6.4d | 1.04% | 1.94% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,933.71 (+4.8%) | 3.8 | 4.3% | 2.0d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 22% ±19 | 51% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±19 | 37% ±39 | 58% ±56 | 5.0d | 2.17% | 1.69% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 3,871.79 (+3.1%) | 2.5 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 38% ±30 | 29% ±19 | 4% ±9 | 67% ±20 | 21 | 14% ±9 | 37% ±29 | 55% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 2.6d | 2.01% | 1.90% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,833.03 (+2.1%) | 1.7 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 7.1d ago · 56× | 58% ±48 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 32% ±19 | 58% ±48 | 70% | 83% | 9h | 1.97% | 2.51% | 23 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 75% ±20 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 52% ±9 | 75% ±20 | 88% ±26 | 89% ±36 | 4h | 2.06% | 2.04% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,775.76 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 2.2% | 10h | 22.9d ago · 46× | 83% ±42 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 84% ±17 | 84% ±41 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 2.30% | 2.87% | 17 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,755 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-1.2%) | 0.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 85% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 59% ±19 | 85% ±35 | 85% | 89% | 2h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 3,755 | 3,975.45 | 3,618.81 | expired | +2.77% |