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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-31 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+19.3%) | 20 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 18% ±43 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,198.86 (+8.8%) | 9.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±18 | 43% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 338 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,086.16 (+5.9%) | 6.0 | 2.5% | 13h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 23% ±12 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 36% ±24 | 58% ±37 | 5.3d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 278 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,158.24 (+5.7%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 13h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 16% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±32 | 62% ±47 | 5.2d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,028.63 (+4.4%) | 4.5 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 23% ±15 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±15 | 51% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 2.8d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 3,933.71 (+1.9%) | 2.0 | 3.5% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 52% ±25 | 53% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 17% ±8 | 50% ±24 | 61% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 1.1d | 2.17% | 1.63% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,864.67 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 88% ±22 | 28% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 22 | 83% ±10 | 90% ±20 | 93% ±29 | 95% | 1h | 2.02% | 1.87% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,858.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3,840.05 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 77% ±26 | 67% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 69% ±12 | 77% ±26 | 84% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 3.14% | 0.86% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.27 (-1.4%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 56% ±24 | 45% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 29% ±9 | 55% ±24 | 60% ±39 | 65% ±66 | 18h | 2.39% | 1.44% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,723.72–3,724.96 (-3.5%) | 3.5 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 30% ±15 | 51% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 34% ±18 | 27 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±15 | 44% ±27 | 59% ±43 | 2.8d | 2.53% | 1.42% | 230 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3,858.96 | 3,804.27 | 4,028.63 | expired | -0.54% |