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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+19.2%) | 23 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±12 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+8.3%) | 10 | 1.0% | 5h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±17 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 344 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,086.16 (+5.7%) | 7.0 | 2.1% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 16% ±11 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±11 | 30% ±23 | 52% ±40 | 6.3d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 267 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,158.24 (+5.5%) | 6.7 | 2.0% | 11h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 14% ±14 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 37% ±34 | 64% ±47 | 5.2d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,034.39 (+4.4%) | 5.3 | 1.8% | 10h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 18% ±12 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 43% ±28 | 64% ±42 | 4.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 219 → 5 | |
| at post · 3,864.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,853.59–3,864.67 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 81% ±24 | 56% ±18 | 5% ±8 | 38% ±18 | 28 | 72% ±11 | 82% ±24 | 87% ±37 | 89% | 1h | 2.71% | 1.52% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,835.91 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 2.8d ago · 106× | 82% ±17 | 57% ±16 | 2% ±5 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 64% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 86% ±27 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 2.90% | 1.25% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.27 (-1.6%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 13h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 49% ±24 | 45% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 19% ±8 | 49% ±24 | 56% ±40 | 64% ±66 | 2.3d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,723.72–3,724.96 (-3.6%) | 4.4 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 23% ±13 | 51% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 34% ±18 | 27 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 38% ±25 | 57% ±40 | 4.0d | 2.53% | 1.42% | 256 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 3,864.74 | 4,034.39 | 3,804.27 | expired | +1.10% |