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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+19.2%) | 35 | 0.2% | 47m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 2% ±10 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 4% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+8.4%) | 15 | 0.7% | 3h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±17 | 44% ±37 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 294 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,068.9 (+5.3%) | 9.6 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±21 | 44% ±43 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 226 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,063.46–4,158.24 (+5.2%) | 9.4 | 1.3% | 9h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 12% ±14 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 33% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 5.5d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,040.14 (+4.6%) | 8.3 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 10% ±9 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 30% ±22 | 56% ±37 | 5.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,867.13 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 91% ±19 | 27% ±20 | 18% ±17 | 55% ±22 | 19 | 83% ±10 | 91% ±19 | 93% ±30 | 93% | 1h | 0.99% | 1.92% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,862.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,858.92 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 87% ±18 | 53% ±15 | 5% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 40 | 76% ±9 | 87% ±17 | 92% ±24 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 2.67% | 1.52% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.27 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 37% ±20 | 48% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 9% ±5 | 36% ±20 | 49% ±35 | 58% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,765.58 (-2.5%) | 4.5 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 15% ±14 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±14 | 25% ±30 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 2.56% | 2.16% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,677.7 (-4.8%) | 8.7 | 0.2% | 32m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 7% ±7 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±19 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.15% | 311 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,862.75 | 4,068.9 | 3,677.7 | stop | -6.35% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,862.75 | 4,040.14 | 3,804.27 | stop | -6.35% |