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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+15.7%) | 10 | 1.9% | 10h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±17 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 357 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,019.56–4,029.96 (+11.1%) | 7.4 | 3.8% | 22h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 11% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 28% ±21 | 53% ±37 | 5.9d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 309 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,859.19–3,867.13 (+6.7%) | 4.5 | 7.1% | 3.3d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 14% ±15 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 27% ±33 | 50% ±57 | 6.6d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+4.9%) | 3.2 | 3.4% | 18h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 32% ±18 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 6% ±4 | 32% ±18 | 44% ±32 | 52% ±49 | 6.8d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,716.7–3,752.04 (+2.8%) | 1.8 | 2.3% | 11h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 41% ±43 | 41% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 14% ±12 | 37% ±39 | 63% ±67 | 74% | 3.7d | 2.56% | 2.59% | 34 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,630.18–3,657.26 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 74% ±50 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 68% ±22 | 74% ±50 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 17 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,616.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.