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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,145.18–4,176.34 (+28.0%) | 13 | 5.0% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 5% ±5 | 45% ±21 | 7% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±17 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 2.12% | 2.30% | 350 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,025.19 (+24.3%) | 11 | 4.6% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 201 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,862.02–3,863.65 (+19.2%) | 8.6 | 9.0% | 4.4d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 5% ±9 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±26 | 46% ±56 | 5.9d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,751.59–4,176.34 (+15.8%) | 7.1 | 3.4% | 16h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 12% ±12 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±31 | 57% ±48 | 6.2d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 158 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,717.61 (+14.8%) | 6.6 | 3.0% | 15h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 25% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±7 | 24% ±34 | 47% ±69 | 95% | 3.8d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,665.98 (+13.2%) | 5.9 | 0.9% | 3h | 22.9d ago · 46× | 22% ±26 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 22% ±26 | 55% ±56 | 70% | 1.9d | 2.60% | 2.78% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,574.39 (+10.4%) | 4.6 | 1.0% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 26% ±32 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 25% ±30 | 63% ±55 | 67% | 2.3d | 3.09% | 2.33% | 45 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,292.86–3,462.76 (+1.7%) | 0.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 61% ±48 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 48% ±19 | 62% ±43 | 79% ±56 | 97% | 12h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,239.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.