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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,397.21–4,414.2 (+27.5%) | 17 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 14% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±16 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | 3.04% | 1.21% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+22.6%) | 14 | 1.0% | 7h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 5% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 15% ±19 | 39% ±43 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 228 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,176.34 (+21.1%) | 13 | 2.4% | 13h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 46% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 355 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,944.4 (+14.3%) | 8.8 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±20 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 260 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,862.02–3,867.26 (+12.0%) | 7.4 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 6% ±10 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 18% ±26 | 48% ±49 | 6.1d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 149 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,751.59–4,176.34 (+8.8%) | 5.4 | 2.6% | 12h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 14% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±29 | 56% ±49 | 6.5d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,700.62 (+7.3%) | 4.5 | 1.6% | 8h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 19% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±27 | 40% ±55 | 82% | 4.7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,642.02 (+5.6%) | 3.4 | 0.7% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 46× | 21% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 21% ±25 | 66% ±54 | 76% | 2.0d | 2.60% | 2.78% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,449.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,445.25 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 81% ±24 | 55% ±18 | 16% ±14 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 69% ±12 | 81% ±24 | 89% ±36 | 90% | 1h | 2.52% | 1.23% | 60 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,377.81–3,428.78 (-0.6%) | 0.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 80% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 56% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 82% ±44 | 85% | 3h | 3.36% | 1.66% | 53 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.