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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-07 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,256.4–4,301.45 (+27.6%) | 19 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+26.7%) | 19 | 0.8% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±15 | 24% ±49 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,181.31 (+25.3%) | 18 | 1.8% | 9h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 251 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,917 (+17.4%) | 12 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 2% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±21 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,860.97–3,873.45 (+15.7%) | 11 | 6.0% | 3.0d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 3% ±8 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 12% ±26 | 43% ±56 | 5.8d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 110 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,790.86–4,166.3 (+13.6%) | 9.6 | 2.7% | 15h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 10% ±12 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 30% ±32 | 57% ±56 | 6.2d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 145 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,715.77 (+11.4%) | 8.0 | 1.9% | 10h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 15% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±24 | 34% ±54 | 98% | 4.2d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,486.28 (+4.5%) | 3.2 | 0.9% | 4h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 17% ±24 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±24 | 55% ±56 | 66% | 2.5d | 2.60% | 2.78% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,339.46 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 91% ±25 | 53% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 78% ±14 | 92% ±22 | 92% ±38 | 94% | 1h | 3.25% | 2.04% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,336.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,336.82 | 3,317.91 | 3,860.97 | target | -3.61% |