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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+22.3%) | 17 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 28% ±44 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,178.06 (+20.9%) | 16 | 1.9% | 10h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 40% ±36 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 296 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,862.2–3,863.65 (+11.7%) | 9.1 | 5.6% | 2.8d | 2.7d ago · 79× | 4% ±8 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±19 | 39% ±55 | 6.9d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 139 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,784.99–4,037.68 (+9.5%) | 7.4 | 2.4% | 13h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 11% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 30% ±28 | 52% ±49 | 6.8d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,700.76 (+7.0%) | 5.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 16% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 15% ±22 | 32% ±53 | 89% | 4.8d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,606.68 (+4.3%) | 3.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 40% ±15 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 7% ±3 | 40% ±15 | 56% ±26 | 72% ±36 | 1.6d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 243 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 3,532.3–3,574.42 (+2.2%) | 1.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 61% ±36 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 22% ±12 | 61% ±36 | 79% ±56 | 98% | 20h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,457.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,414.4 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 60% ±25 | 45% ±22 | 14% ±15 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 42% ±10 | 61% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 73% ±61 | 10h | 2.39% | 1.44% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,317.91 (-4.0%) | 3.1 | 1.7% | 12h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 44% ±21 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 77% ±48 | 1.4d | 2.80% | 1.24% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,192.92 (-7.6%) | 5.9 | 0.4% | 51m | 2.5d ago · 85× | 17% ±11 | 53% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±11 | 37% ±24 | 60% ±36 | 4.7d | 2.52% | 1.31% | 290 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.