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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+25.4%) | 30 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 2% ±9 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,175.08 (+23.8%) | 28 | 1.3% | 7h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±8 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 53% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,861.73–3,863.65 (+14.5%) | 17 | 3.7% | 1.9d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 2% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±22 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,788.39–4,028.4 (+12.3%) | 14 | 1.6% | 8h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 15% ±20 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±19 | 29% ±45 | 52% ±69 | 6.2d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,721.72 (+10.3%) | 12 | 1.3% | 6h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 13% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±6 | 12% ±24 | 28% ±62 | 98% | 4.0d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,563.58 (+5.6%) | 6.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 15% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 27% ±21 | 48% ±37 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 299 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 3,535.03–3,561.7 (+4.8%) | 5.6 | 0.3% | 52m | 1.6d ago · 50× | 26% ±32 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 25% ±30 | 52% ±57 | 86% | 2.6d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,390.44 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 1.0% | 11h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 81% ±44 | 31% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 84% ±15 | 84% ±36 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 2.30% | 2.69% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,373.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,317.91 (-1.6%) | 1.9 | 1.1% | 8h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 63% ±23 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 22% ±8 | 62% ±22 | 77% ±34 | 87% ±38 | 15h | 2.80% | 1.24% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,192.92 (-5.3%) | 6.2 | 0.3% | 31m | 2.6d ago · 85× | 16% ±10 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 36% ±23 | 58% ±37 | 4.9d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 302 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.