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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,193.99 (+18.9%) | 18 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 277 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,031.61 (+14.3%) | 13 | 2.3% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±18 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 258 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,861–3,865.91 (+9.4%) | 8.8 | 4.7% | 2.4d | 2.7d ago · 79× | 4% ±8 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±19 | 38% ±47 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 151 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,797.82–4,033.04 (+7.6%) | 7.1 | 2.0% | 10h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 10% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 181 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,698.78 (+4.8%) | 4.5 | 1.1% | 5h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 15% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±22 | 30% ±52 | 69% | 6.0d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+3.1%) | 2.9 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 60% ±34 | 25% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 17% ±11 | 60% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 20h | 1.46% | 1.26% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,528.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,524.67 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.9d ago · 65× | 82% ±38 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 79% ±16 | 82% ±38 | 82% | 82% | 1h | 2.69% | 1.77% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,360.93 (-4.7%) | 4.4 | 1.2% | 8h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 31% ±17 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±17 | 56% ±31 | 73% ±44 | 2.2d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 175 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 3,314.89 (-6.0%) | 5.6 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 17% ±14 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±14 | 35% ±31 | 61% ±48 | 4.3d | 2.80% | 1.24% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,236.61 (-8.3%) | 7.7 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 12% ±8 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 28% ±20 | 52% ±35 | 6.4d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 333 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 3,528.04 | 3,816.11 | 3,314.89 | expired | -1.26% |