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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,255.89 (+22.2%) | 19 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 9% ±16 | 38% ±39 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 242 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,029.43 (+15.7%) | 14 | 2.3% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±17 | 36% ±38 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 261 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,859.73–3,865.91 (+10.8%) | 9.3 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±18 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,810.2–4,033.04 (+9.4%) | 8.1 | 2.0% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 9% ±10 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 27% ±28 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 183 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,649.25 (+4.8%) | 4.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 14% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±21 | 31% ±52 | 56% | 6.7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+4.4%) | 3.8 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 54% ±37 | 25% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 10% ±9 | 55% ±34 | 74% ±49 | 98% | 20h | 1.46% | 1.26% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,489.16 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 85% ±21 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 35 | 72% ±11 | 85% ±21 | 93% ±26 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,483.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 3,394.41–3,395.69 (-2.5%) | 2.2 | 1.7% | 17h | 2.5d ago · 106× | 48% ±22 | 54% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 42 | 17% ±7 | 48% ±22 | 61% ±36 | 72% ±51 | 1.8d | 2.66% | 1.30% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,193.69 (-8.3%) | 7.2 | 0.4% | 47m | 2.5d ago · 85× | 13% ±9 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±21 | 53% ±35 | 6.2d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 329 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.