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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,231.13 (+23.9%) | 19 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 255 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 3,865.91 (+13.2%) | 11 | 5.6% | 2.8d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 9% ±20 | 43% ±49 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,797.82–4,057.8 (+11.2%) | 8.9 | 2.0% | 9h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 8% ±10 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 24% ±27 | 43% ±49 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,653.98 (+7.0%) | 5.6 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 16% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 38% ±26 | 59% ±39 | 5.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 241 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 3,649.25–3,686.4 (+6.9%) | 5.5 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 37% ±33 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 6% ±6 | 35% ±31 | 61% ±55 | 89% | 2.4d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 3,546.38–3,562.59 (+3.8%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 38% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 8% ±3 | 38% ±15 | 55% ±27 | 70% ±37 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.94% | 234 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,431.63–3,432.44 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 2.5% | 22h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 90% ±13 | 40% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 35 | 75% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 93% ±21 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.71% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,415.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,285.94 (-3.8%) | 3.0 | 1.5% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 33% ±16 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 9% ±4 | 33% ±16 | 53% ±30 | 65% ±42 | 2.5d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 202 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,200.21 (-6.3%) | 5.0 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 24% ±14 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±14 | 51% ±28 | 73% ±39 | 2.9d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 218 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.