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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+20.0%) | 14 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±15 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 368 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 3,875.63 (+10.0%) | 7.2 | 6.1% | 2.9d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 9% ±10 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 16% ±23 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 175 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,797.76–4,037.36 (+7.8%) | 5.6 | 2.2% | 11h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 13% ±12 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 30% ±27 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 196 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 3,642.02–3,689.94 (+3.4%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 52% ±35 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 15% ±10 | 51% ±33 | 73% ±50 | 98% | 1.0d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,636.51 (+3.2%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 52% ±28 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 24% ±10 | 52% ±28 | 68% ±46 | 72% ±62 | 22h | 1.98% | 2.49% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 3,546.18–3,546.38 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 15h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 83% ±19 | 46% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 68% ±10 | 83% ±20 | 93% ±22 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 1.92% | 1.94% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,522.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,390.44–3,450.34 (-2.1%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 73% ±19 | 48% ±15 | 20% ±12 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 38% ±8 | 72% ±19 | 85% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 8h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,432.44–3,432.55 (-2.6%) | 1.8 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 106× | 62% ±22 | 54% ±15 | 5% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 43 | 31% ±8 | 62% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 86% ±39 | 12h | 2.65% | 1.55% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,285.94 (-6.7%) | 4.8 | 1.8% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 21% ±12 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 41% ±24 | 64% ±36 | 4.5d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 294 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,228.59 (-8.4%) | 6.0 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 16% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±11 | 44% ±26 | 70% ±37 | 4.0d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 255 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,522.85 | 3,432.44 | 3,593.26 | target | +9.06% |