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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+27.1%) | 19 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 36% ±36 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 274 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,875.63 (+16.5%) | 11 | 6.1% | 2.9d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±19 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 150 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,642.02–3,689.94 (+9.5%) | 6.5 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 28% ±28 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 5% ±5 | 27% ±28 | 65% ±54 | 86% | 2.1d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,632.54 (+9.2%) | 6.3 | 1.3% | 10h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 14% ±10 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 35% ±24 | 58% ±39 | 5.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 269 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,583.59 (+7.7%) | 5.3 | 1.9% | 13h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 27% ±12 | 46% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 3% ±2 | 27% ±12 | 42% ±23 | 59% ±34 | 4.3d | 1.92% | 1.94% | 319 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,522.22 (+5.9%) | 4.0 | 2.4% | 12h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 11% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 15% ±21 | 27% ±44 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,429.97–3,432.44 (+3.1%) | 2.1 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 46% ±24 | 40% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 35 | 17% ±7 | 46% ±24 | 59% ±39 | 71% ±63 | 2.0d | 2.11% | 1.71% | 102 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,378.46–3,450.34 (+1.6%) | 1.1 | 2.6% | 17h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 69% ±20 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 44% ±9 | 69% ±19 | 80% ±30 | 81% ±44 | 6h | 2.01% | 2.31% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,369.65 (+1.3%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 14h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 82% ±27 | 55% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 67% ±13 | 82% ±27 | 84% ±42 | 88% | 2h | 3.41% | 2.33% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,326.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,261.88 (-1.9%) | 1.3 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 58% ±23 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 32% ±9 | 59% ±23 | 67% ±38 | 71% ±51 | 14h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,326.74 | 3,112.8 | 3,432.44 | target | +2.91% |