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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-14 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+32.0%) | 17 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 36% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,875.63 (+21.0%) | 11 | 7.2% | 3.5d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 3% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±19 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 152 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,630.04–3,701.92 (+13.3%) | 7.3 | 1.6% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 25% ±25 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±25 | 57% ±49 | 83% ±52 | 2.6d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,624.76–3,632.54 (+13.1%) | 7.2 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 12% ±9 | 48% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±21 | 49% ±35 | 6.7d | 1.95% | 2.08% | 321 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,486.28 (+8.8%) | 4.8 | 2.8% | 14h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±19 | 26% ±38 | 56% ±69 | 6.5d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,429.97–3,433.63 (+7.1%) | 3.9 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 2.9d ago · 104× | 18% ±16 | 39% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 55% ±16 | 36 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±16 | 32% ±35 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 2.13% | 1.75% | 130 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,378.46–3,462.32 (+5.5%) | 3.0 | 3.0% | 21h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 35% ±18 | 53% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 7% ±4 | 35% ±18 | 46% ±33 | 53% ±49 | 6.7d | 2.06% | 2.59% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,369.92 (+5.2%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 17h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 35% ±38 | 55% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 7% ±8 | 34% ±35 | 60% ±68 | 72% | 2.5d | 3.41% | 2.33% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,244.64 (+1.3%) | 0.7 | 1.8% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 85% ±35 | 29% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 65% ±25 | 14 | 86% ±13 | 86% ±34 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 2.17% | 2.78% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,203.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.